Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.6% | 28.4% | -5.1 | ✗ (32.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +27 (116-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 25 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Jalen Williams * | 24 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell * | 24 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Alex Caruso * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jared McCain | 21 | 3-13 | 0-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Bennett Stirtz | 20 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Aday Mara | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 15 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Josh Dix | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Andrew Holifield | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 12 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Christoph Tilly | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Pritchard | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 29 | 3-13 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 23 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Amen Thompson * | 22 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 18 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 16 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Bogdan Bogdanović | 16 | 5-9 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Tari Eason | 16 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 16 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Isaiah Crawford | 12 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Smart | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Clint Capela | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Bruce Thornton | 9 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Oscar Tshiebwe | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Quadir Copeland | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Julian Phillips | 4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Sean Pedulla | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Cameron Matthews | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter