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2026-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Kansas State Wildcats TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 8.6% 91.4% -
Bradley-Terry 20.2% 79.8% -
Margin 15.6% 84.4% +9.3 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 34.7% 65.3% -
Efficiency 46.8% 53.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.6% 83.4% -
Log Adjusted 16.5% 83.5% -
Points Off/Def 29.0% 71.0% -

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +2 (84-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Castillo 40 3-10 3-8 2-2 0 2 1 0 1 11 3 -
P.J. Haggerty 39 14-24 2-5 0-1 1 1 1 0 4 30 5 -
N. Johnson 37 5-11 1-6 2-3 4 11 6 2 2 13 23 -
K. McGriff 24 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 3 1 6 10 -
T. Manning 23 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 4 8 -
M. Johnson 19 5-6 5-6 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 15 14 -
CJ Jones 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 2 -2 -
D. Buca 4 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Pierre 37 3-8 0-3 4-4 1 4 2 0 0 10 9 -
D. Punch 30 4-10 0-2 6-8 6 3 2 0 0 14 15 -
X. Edmonds 30 9-10 1-1 7-13 10 0 2 0 6 26 22 -
B. Harding 29 3-6 3-6 0-0 3 6 1 0 2 9 11 -
M. Robinson 26 5-12 2-6 4-7 6 2 0 0 2 16 10 -
T. Toolson 24 2-7 1-4 1-4 5 2 0 0 2 6 4 -
L. Lelevicius 17 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
J. Posey 5 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
V. Salatchoum 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter