Model Predictions
| Model | Kansas State Wildcats | TCU Horned Frogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.4% | 84.6% | +9.4 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +2 (84-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Castillo | 40 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | +11.2 |
| P.J. Haggerty | 39 | 14-24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 5 | +15.4 |
| Nate Johnson | 37 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 23 | +7.3 |
| Khamari McGriff | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | +7.7 |
| Taj Manning | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +4.5 |
| Marcus Johnson | 19 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | +11.4 |
| CJ Jones | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | -5.3 |
| Dorin Buca | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +3.6 |
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Pierre | 37 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | -8.0 |
| David Punch | 30 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | -3.9 |
| Xavier Edmonds | 30 | 9-10 | 1-1 | 7-13 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 22 | +4.6 |
| Brock Harding | 29 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -3.5 |
| Micah Robinson | 26 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 4-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | -2.0 |
| Tanner Toolson | 24 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -4.6 |
| Liutauras Lelevicius | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -17.9 |
| Jace Posey | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -1.5 |
| Vianney Salatchoum | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.6 |
* = starter