Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.9% | 77.1% | +6.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.8% | 66.2% | +7.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +12 (96-84). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | -10.6 |
| Nikola Jokić * | 35 | 5-19 | 1-7 | 2-4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | -14.3 |
| Christian Braun * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | -15.8 |
| Aaron Gordon * | 29 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 19 | -7.3 |
| Cameron Johnson * | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +1.0 |
| DeMar DeRozan | 28 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 1 | -6.6 |
| Alpha Diallo | 22 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +3.4 |
| Trevon Brazile | 18 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | +1.4 |
| Marvin Bagley III | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +4.6 |
| Tyus Jones | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -0.5 |
| DaRon Holmes II | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +4.9 |
| Ryan Nembhard | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +4.9 |
| Bryce Hopkins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.9 |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 34 | 6-19 | 3-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | +19.6 |
| Jalen Williams * | 33 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | -3.5 |
| Chet Holmgren * | 27 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 24 | +11.2 |
| Cason Wallace * | 23 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +6.7 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 22 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +6.6 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 23 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 4 | +7.1 |
| Alex Caruso | 19 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | +15.3 |
| Jared McCain | 18 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | -5.0 |
| Jaylin Williams | 15 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | +10.7 |
| Aday Mara | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -9.8 |
| Kenrich Williams | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -9.6 |
| Bennett Stirtz | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.9 |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.0 |
* = starter