🐻⬇️🏀

@
2025-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 41.3% 58.7% -
Bradley-Terry 46.4% 53.6% -
Margin 55.3% 44.7% -1.2 (12.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% -
Efficiency 96.4% 3.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.9% 39.1% -
Log Adjusted 60.9% 39.1% -
Points Off/Def 51.0% 49.0% -

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +11 (74-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Winter * 36 0-3 0-2 3-4 10 3 1 2 0 3 16 -3.3
J. Blackwell * 34 8-22 3-8 11-12 6 0 3 0 3 30 14 -7.4
N. Boyd * 33 6-13 1-4 2-2 1 3 2 0 5 15 3 -4.2
A. Rohde * 31 3-6 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 7 4 -4.0
A. Rapp * 22 1-6 0-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 2 -1 -11.4
B. Carrington 18 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 6 4 -1.4
J. Janicki 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 0 0 -10.2
A. Bieliauskas 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 0 4 -9.2
W. Garlock 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -5.9

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Harding * 36 6-9 2-3 2-3 4 5 1 0 5 16 12 +12.9
D. Punch * 32 7-11 1-1 2-2 9 2 2 2 4 17 17 +4.5
J. Pierre * 32 4-11 2-2 1-2 3 4 0 2 0 11 9 +15.7
L. Lelevicius * 28 4-5 3-4 0-0 5 1 1 1 1 11 13 +19.6
X. Edmonds * 18 6-8 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 1 12 9 +21.7
M. Robinson 28 1-5 0-2 5-7 4 1 0 1 0 7 8 -2.5
J. Posey 14 0-7 0-0 0-2 7 0 1 0 1 0 0 -4.0
T. Toolson 12 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -3 -0.6

* = starter