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2025-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 45.7% 54.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 47.9% 52.1% - โœ“
Margin 56.2% 43.8% -1.4 โœ— (12.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 55.4% 44.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 60.8% 39.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 60.8% 39.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 51.2% 48.8% - โœ—

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +11 (74-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nolan Winter * 36 0-3 0-2 3-4 10 3 1 2 0 3 16 +5.6
John Blackwell * 34 8-22 3-8 11-12 6 0 3 0 3 30 14 -0.5
Nick Boyd * 33 6-13 1-4 2-2 1 3 2 0 5 15 3 +2.2
Andrew Rohde * 31 3-6 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 7 4 -1.5
Austin Rapp * 22 1-6 0-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 2 -1 -6.2
Braeden Carrington 18 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 6 4 -1.1
Jack Janicki 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 0 0 -10.6
Aleksas Bieliauskas 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 0 4 -7.6
Will Garlock 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -6.7

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brock Harding * 36 6-9 2-3 2-3 4 5 1 0 5 16 12 +5.2
David Punch * 32 7-11 1-1 2-2 9 2 2 2 4 17 17 +1.4
Jayden Pierre * 32 4-11 2-2 1-2 3 4 0 2 0 11 9 +11.8
Liutauras Lelevicius * 28 4-5 3-4 0-0 5 1 1 1 1 11 13 +16.6
Xavier Edmonds * 18 6-8 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 1 12 9 +17.4
Micah Robinson 28 1-5 0-2 5-7 4 1 0 1 0 7 8 -2.9
Jace Posey 14 0-7 0-0 0-2 7 0 1 0 1 0 0 -2.4
Tanner Toolson 12 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -3 +1.5

* = starter