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2025-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 72.1% 27.9% -
Bradley-Terry 83.5% 16.5% -
Margin 93.2% 6.8% -14.4 (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 54.4% 45.6% -
Efficiency 88.2% 11.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 92.4% 7.6% -
Log Adjusted 92.5% 7.5% -
Points Off/Def 77.5% 22.5% -

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs -4 (63-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Y. Lendeborg * 29 4-6 1-2 5-5 10 4 0 3 1 14 24 +8.7
E. Cadeau * 26 1-6 1-3 0-0 5 1 2 0 6 3 -1 +8.8
M. Johnson Jr. * 25 5-11 0-0 0-1 12 1 1 2 2 10 13 +14.7
A. Mara * 20 2-2 0-0 2-4 6 1 0 1 5 6 7 -0.7
N. Burnett * 18 3-4 0-0 2-3 1 0 1 0 1 8 5 +4.8
R. Gayle Jr. 29 3-8 0-1 4-4 3 6 1 1 2 10 11 +4.4
T. McKenney 23 3-7 2-6 3-3 1 1 0 0 1 11 5 +4.7
L.J. Cason 16 2-6 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 5 -3 -1.4
W. Tschetter 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 +1.6

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Harding * 32 7-14 1-4 0-1 6 4 3 0 1 15 13 -9.7
D. Punch * 31 1-6 0-1 1-3 2 2 1 3 1 3 4 -7.6
J. Pierre * 30 3-13 2-7 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 8 -3 -7.3
L. Lelevicius * 22 3-4 1-2 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 9 8 -6.4
X. Edmonds * 20 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 1 3 2 3 4 4 +1.4
T. Toolson 23 4-9 1-4 1-1 1 1 0 0 1 10 2 +2.0
M. Robinson 22 3-8 2-3 4-5 3 1 1 1 0 12 10 -1.2
J. Posey 14 0-1 0-1 2-3 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -1.1
V. Salatchoum 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 -7.6

* = starter