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SMU

Also known as: SMU Mustangs, SMU
Program History

2026 Team Stats (33 games)

83.8
PPG
77.9
Opp
+5.9
Margin
49.0%
FG%
37.5%
3P%
73.4%
FT%
37.6
RPG
16.9
APG
11.2
TO
82.2
Pace
86.7
AdjO
71.3
AdjD
#40
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1029 (#158) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1201 (#50) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 998 (#233) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +15.4 (#39) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +22.9 (#69) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.705 (#65) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +15.9 More → 0.836 (#66) NetEff +15.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +19.4 More → 0.903 (#43) AdjNet +19.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.7 More → 0.906 (#43) AdjNet +19.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 86.7 | AdjD 71.3 More → 0.803 (#40) AdjO 86.7 | AdjD 71.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 78.5 | AdjD 73.0 More → 0.623 (#93) AdjO 78.5 | AdjD 73.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.883 (#62) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.841 (#67) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 114 | GP 33 More → 1168 (#79) RD 114 | GP 33

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Tarleton State Texans W 96 - 76
2025-11-06 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 69 - 58
2025-11-11 vs Murray State Racers W 102 - 91
2025-11-15 vs Butler Bulldogs W 87 - 85
2025-11-18 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 106 - 60
2025-11-21 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves W 100 - 69
2025-11-24 vs Radford Highlanders W 89 - 72
2025-11-28 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs W 87 - 81
2025-12-03 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 69 - 88
2025-12-13 @ LSU Tigers L 77 - 89
2025-12-21 vs Central Arkansas Bears W 99 - 82
2025-12-28 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans W 110 - 63
2026-01-03 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 97 - 83
2026-01-07 @ Clemson Tigers L 70 - 74
2026-01-10 @ Duke Blue Devils L 75 - 82
2026-01-14 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 77 - 76
2026-01-17 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 68 - 72
2026-01-20 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 91 - 79
2026-01-24 vs Florida State Seminoles W 83 - 80
2026-01-31 @ Louisville Cardinals L 74 - 88
2026-02-03 vs NC State Wolfpack L 83 - 84
2026-02-07 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 86 - 67
2026-02-10 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 89 - 81
2026-02-14 @ Syracuse Orange L 78 - 79
2026-02-17 vs Louisville Cardinals W 95 - 85
2026-02-21 vs Boston College Eagles W 94 - 70
2026-02-25 @ California Golden Bears L 69 - 73
2026-02-28 @ Stanford Cardinal L 75 - 95
2026-03-04 vs Miami Hurricanes L 69 - 77
2026-03-07 @ Florida State Seminoles L 78 - 91
2026-03-10 vs Syracuse Orange W 86 - 69
2026-03-11 @ Louisville Cardinals L 58 - 62
2026-03-18 vs Miami (OH) RedHawks L 79 - 89

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
B. Miller B. Miller - 32 35.0 19.1 3.7 6.5 1.5 0.1 2.5 13.0 15.2 82 3.7 6.5 47.0 42.3 85.9 1.28 61.6 54.9
J. Pierre Jr. J. Pierre Jr. G 33 32.9 17.1 4.9 2.2 1.0 0.4 1.9 13.9 9.7 278 11.6 17.6 45.4 37.0 74.2 2.33 56.3 53.8
B.J. Edwards B.J. Edwards - 27 32.9 12.9 5.8 4.7 2.3 0.2 1.9 9.9 14.0 105 5.2 8.0 48.1 37.8 76.6 0.95 59.0 56.0
C. Washington C. Washington F 33 27.5 11.3 5.0 0.9 0.9 0.5 1.0 7.5 10.0 159 8.0 15.5 47.8 38.9 76.3 1.74 61.8 56.6
S. Yigitoglu S. Yigitoglu - 33 29.0 10.6 7.8 1.6 0.5 1.2 1.8 7.2 12.8 66 3.0 6.1 62.3 0.0 49.5 1.17 61.3 62.3
Jaden Toombs Jaden Toombs - 26 20.3 8.5 4.7 1.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 6.4 8.3 -61 -4.7 -12.2 57.8 23.1 65.7 -0.56 60.9 59.6
Jermaine O'Neal, Jr. Jermaine O'Neal, Jr. - 33 15.1 4.5 2.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.5 4.2 3.2 278 11.6 17.6 42.3 37.1 91.7 2.33 52.7 50.7
S. Walters S. Walters F 24 9.2 2.6 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.5 1.3 -25 -1.9 -13.0 40.0 34.9 0.0 -0.25 52.1 52.5
M. Holmes M. Holmes - 25 5.0 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.1 1.8 3 0.2 1.7 70.4 0 100.0 -0.1 73.6 70.4
B.J. Davis-Ray B.J. Davis-Ray - 31 7.2 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.1 -41 -2.2 -16.7 38.1 25.0 75.0 -0.5 45.7 44.0
C. Puryear C. Puryear - 14 2.5 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 -6 -0.8 -14.2 20.0 33.3 33.3 -0.26 31.6 30.0
Nigel Walls Nigel Walls - 9 3.3 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.7 2 0.3 4.4 0.0 0.0 0 0.01 0.0 0.0
T. Utter T. Utter - 2 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -14 -7.0 -245.3 0 0 0 -0.11 0 0
N. Kalischer-Stork N. Kalischer-Stork - 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 -9 -4.5 -440.8 0 0 0.0 -0.02 0.0 0
Billy White III Billy White III F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 150 7.1 13.2 - - - 1.48 - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG