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2026-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 35.4% 64.6% -
Bradley-Terry 21.8% 78.2% -
Margin 14.7% 85.3% +9.7 (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 36.8% 63.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.7% 81.3% -
Log Adjusted 18.4% 81.6% -
Points Off/Def 28.0% 72.0% -

Actual: SMU Mustangs +8 (89-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Certa 37 6-13 4-9 0-1 3 2 0 0 0 16 8 -
B. Shrewsberry 32 5-11 5-9 1-2 2 2 1 1 3 16 8 -
J. Haralson 31 9-13 0-0 5-8 3 1 1 1 6 23 10 -
C. Towt 24 2-3 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 0 1 4 5 -
B. Koehler 23 4-5 1-1 2-2 6 2 2 0 1 11 15 -
L. Imes 20 2-7 0-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 4 3 -
S. Mohammed 17 3-5 1-1 0-0 2 6 2 0 0 7 12 -
G. Sundra 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
R. Frost 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Miller 37 7-13 4-5 2-2 3 7 3 0 2 20 18 -
J. Pierre Jr. 34 8-15 3-8 3-3 8 6 1 1 4 22 19 -
B.J. Edwards 31 1-6 1-5 4-4 8 6 2 0 2 7 15 -
S. Yigitoglu 27 5-8 0-0 1-3 10 4 0 1 3 11 15 -
C. Washington 27 5-10 3-6 1-3 2 1 0 1 0 14 8 -
J. Toombs 14 4-4 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 2 9 5 -
J. O'Neal Jr. 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 3 2 -
S. Walters 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
B.J. Davis-Ray 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Holmes 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter