Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.1% | 54.9% | +1.1 | ✗ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -1 (83-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dar. Williams | 34 | 8-18 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 7 | - |
| Q. Copeland | 33 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 10 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 30 | - |
| T. Holloman | 31 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| V. Lubin | 28 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| M. Able | 22 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| T. Arceneaux | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| P. McNeil | 18 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| M. Sagnia | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Ebube | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pierre Jr. | 35 | 10-20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 7 | - |
| B.J. Edwards | 33 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| B. Miller | 30 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | - |
| C. Washington | 27 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| S. Yigitoglu | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| J. O'Neal Jr. | 18 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| S. Walters | 13 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Toombs | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B.J. Davis-Ray | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Holmes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter