Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.0% | 42.0% | -1.8 | ✗ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +12 (89-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pierre Jr. | 38 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | -4.5 |
| B.J. Edwards | 33 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -13.3 |
| B. Miller | 33 | 5-12 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | -12.4 |
| J. Toombs | 27 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | -7.8 |
| S. Yigitoglu | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | -9.4 |
| C. Washington | 23 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | +1.2 |
| J. O'Neal Jr. | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2.7 |
| M. Holmes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
| B.J. Davis-Ray | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sutton | 39 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 20 | +16.1 |
| P. Tamba | 38 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | +12.0 |
| D. Thomas Jr. | 36 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 18 | +6.3 |
| M. Mackinnon | 33 | 8-9 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 12 | +22.4 |
| R. Miller III | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +4.2 |
| M. Nwoko | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +6.9 |
| R. King | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Reece | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.9 |
| R. Zipper | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.1 |
* = starter