Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.0% | 81.0% | +8.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +2 (87-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ajayi * | 34 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 5-10 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -1.3 |
| F. Bizjack * | 32 | 6-15 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | -1.8 |
| J. Jackson * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 7 | +2.3 |
| J. Kaiser Jr. * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +4.1 |
| D. Jones * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +6.3 |
| Y. Traore | 23 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | -3.9 |
| E. Haywood | 19 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Y. Butler | 8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +4.2 |
| A. Robinson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +0.2 |
| J. Keith | 6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +4.1 |
| J. McCaffery | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.J. Edwards * | 38 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +4.6 |
| B. Miller * | 37 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 19 | +3.1 |
| J. Pierre Jr. * | 34 | 8-16 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 8 | -2.5 |
| S. Yigitoglu * | 29 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | -6.1 |
| C. Washington * | 28 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | -0.3 |
| S. Walters | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.7 |
| M. Holmes | 11 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +4.2 |
| J. O'Neal Jr. | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.8 |
| B.J. Davis-Ray | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
| C. Puryear | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.0 |
* = starter