Model Predictions
| Model | Tarleton State Texans | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.0% | 98.0% | +21.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +20 (96-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Dormu | 32 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | -1.9 |
| F. Hicks | 26 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 13-15 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 17 | +5.5 |
| C. Mpaka | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2.7 |
| J. Mizell | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -5.2 |
| D. Johnson | 23 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 8-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 15 | -0.0 |
| K. Isaac | 22 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -14.8 |
| A. Sigiscar | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -8.8 |
| O. Owens | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -9.5 |
| K. Douglas | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -9.4 |
| L. Kelly IV | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9.1 |
| C. McDowell | 6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.4 |
| A. Dent Jr. | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.J. Edwards | 36 | 7-12 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 16 | +12.6 |
| S. Yigitoglu | 34 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8-13 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 22 | +11.0 |
| C. Washington | 33 | 7-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +9.7 |
| J. Pierre Jr. | 29 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 8-10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | +17.3 |
| B. Miller | 28 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 11-11 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 19 | +19.2 |
| J. O'Neal Jr. | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Walters | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.9 |
| B.J. Davis-Ray | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -10.6 |
| M. Holmes | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +0.7 |
| C. Puryear | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +3.6 |
| N. Walls | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter