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2025-11-28

Model Predictions

Model SMU Mustangs Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 50.5% 49.5% -
Bradley-Terry 68.4% 31.6% -
Margin 77.4% 22.6% -6.8 (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 63.6% 36.4% -
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.0% 20.0% -
Log Adjusted 80.3% 19.7% -
Points Off/Def 63.5% 36.5% -

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -6 (81-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B.J. Edwards * 41 3-12 0-4 0-3 6 3 1 0 2 6 2 +2.2
C. Washington * 41 3-9 0-5 6-8 10 2 0 0 2 12 13 +9.0
J. Pierre Jr. * 40 11-21 1-5 1-1 6 2 0 2 2 24 11 +9.4
B. Miller * 39 9-19 5-9 5-5 9 3 2 0 2 28 21 +10.0
S. Yigitoglu * 35 2-2 0-0 1-3 13 3 0 2 1 5 20 +3.3
J. O'Neal Jr. 16 2-5 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 6 1 -8.8
J. Toombs 11 2-3 0-0 2-3 6 2 0 0 0 6 11 -1.9
M. Holmes 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -4.9

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hubbard * 39 5-19 1-7 5-5 3 2 1 0 3 16 0 -11.6
A. Achor * 38 1-4 0-2 3-7 12 2 3 1 1 5 18 -7.3
J. Epps * 33 8-17 3-6 2-2 1 3 4 0 1 21 11 -4.3
Q. Ballard * 32 4-8 0-0 4-4 10 0 0 1 1 12 14 -3.3
J. McGhee * 30 6-12 3-7 2-3 0 1 0 0 0 17 6 +4.7
S. Jones Jr. 33 1-5 1-5 3-4 7 2 0 0 1 6 9 +1.8
A. Ali 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 +8.1
J. Davis-Fleming 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -3.4
B. Walker 6 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 +4.6

* = starter