Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.4% | 22.6% | -6.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -6 (81-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.J. Edwards * | 41 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +2.2 |
| C. Washington * | 41 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 6-8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | +9.0 |
| J. Pierre Jr. * | 40 | 11-21 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 11 | +9.4 |
| B. Miller * | 39 | 9-19 | 5-9 | 5-5 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 21 | +10.0 |
| S. Yigitoglu * | 35 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20 | +3.3 |
| J. O'Neal Jr. | 16 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -8.8 |
| J. Toombs | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | -1.9 |
| M. Holmes | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -4.9 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hubbard * | 39 | 5-19 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 0 | -11.6 |
| A. Achor * | 38 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-7 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 18 | -7.3 |
| J. Epps * | 33 | 8-17 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | -4.3 |
| Q. Ballard * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | -3.3 |
| J. McGhee * | 30 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 6 | +4.7 |
| S. Jones Jr. | 33 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +1.8 |
| A. Ali | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +8.1 |
| J. Davis-Fleming | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.4 |
| B. Walker | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +4.6 |
* = starter