SMU
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1197 (#75) | Preseason prior 1175 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1078, returning -73, transfers +104, freshmen +66 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1118 (#77) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1116 (#78) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +11.1 (#72) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +11.2 (#72) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.900 (#44) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.756 (#67) | AdjNet +16.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.766 (#66) | AdjNet +16.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.675 (#73) | AdjO 81.6 | AdjD 73.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.676 (#72) | AdjO 81.7 | AdjD 73.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.741 (#70) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.741 (#70) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1171 (#64) | RD 179 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.726 (#72) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Southern Jaguars | W | 85 - 72 |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | VMI Keydets | W | 95 - 70 |
| 2026-11-10 | vs | Prairie View A&M Panthers | W | 98 - 63 |
| 2026-11-13 | vs | Ball State Cardinals | W | 90 - 65 |
| 2026-11-17 | vs | Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-20 | vs | South Alabama Jaguars | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oziyah Sellers
|
G | 4 | 26.0 | 15.8 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 8.2 | 13.5 | 55 | 3 | 18.3 | 26.9 | 51.5 | 58.8 | 90.5 | 1.85 | 74.6 | 66.7 |
Jakub Szumert
|
NA | 4 | 22.2 | 14.2 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 16.0 | 42 | 3 | 14.0 | 24.2 | 60.0 | 66.7 | 82.9 | 0.75 | 80.5 | 70.0 |
Jermaine O'Neal Jr.
|
F | 4 | 23.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 7.2 | 14.5 | 57 | 3 | 19.0 | 32.4 | 58.6 | 30.0 | 86.4 | 0.87 | 72.4 | 63.8 |
Jaden Toombs
|
F | 4 | 24.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 8.8 | 13.2 | 59 | 3 | 19.7 | 31.0 | 60.0 | 16.7 | 71.4 | 0.42 | 63.0 | 61.4 |
Rowan Brumbaugh
|
G | 3 | 21.7 | 7.7 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 7.3 | 5.7 | 11 | 2 | 5.5 | 10.6 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 58.3 | -0.23 | 42.2 | 36.4 |
Jaylin Stewart
|
F | 1 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 7 | 1 | 7.0 | 35.5 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.35 | 71.7 | 62.5 |
David Terrell Jr.
|
G | 4 | 18.5 | 7.0 | 1.8 | 5.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 9.0 | 34 | 3 | 11.3 | 26.5 | 44.4 | 100.0 | 90.9 | 0.76 | 61.3 | 50.0 |
Jacob Patrick
|
G | 3 | 11.3 | 6.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 3.7 | 5.7 | 8 | 2 | 4.0 | 14.5 | 54.5 | 66.7 | 100.0 | -0.62 | 84.2 | 81.8 |
Johan Munch
|
F | 4 | 15.2 | 5.5 | 5.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 9.8 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 63.6 | 0 | 66.7 | -1.56 | 67.6 | 63.6 |
Billy White III
|
F | 4 | 18.0 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 23 | 3 | 7.7 | 17.8 | 35.0 | 42.9 | 100.0 | 0.01 | 51.4 | 50.0 |
Cameron Lomax
|
G | 4 | 10.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 17 | 3 | 5.7 | 21.3 | 30.0 | 20.0 | 77.8 | 0.17 | 50.1 | 35.0 |
Niccolo Kalischer-Stork
|
G | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -2 | 1 | -2.0 | -63.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.63 | 36.2 | 0.0 |
Nic Codie
|
F | 3 | 12.3 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 6 | 3 | 2.0 | 6.6 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.16 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
Nigel Walls
|
F | 3 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 6.9 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.46 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
Gehrig Normand
|
G | 2 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | -3 | 2 | -1.5 | -10.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.65 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former SMU players in EuroLeague 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, EuroCup 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last SMU game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sterling Brown | 2013-17 | EuroLeague | Zalgiris Kaunas | 11 | 18.7 | 10.1 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 11-12 5 pts, 3 reb, 2 ast | 6 GP, 9.8 PPG, 3.7 RPG, 1.0 APG |
| Semi Ojeleye | 2016-17 | EuroLeague | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade | 11 | 22.4 | 8.4 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 11-12 5 pts, 1 reb, 1 ast | 6 GP, 7.2 PPG, 1.3 RPG, 1.2 APG |
| Matt Cross | 2024-25 | G League | Texas Legends | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-13 18 pts, 12 reb, 1 ast Play-In | 3 GP, 16.0 PPG, 10.3 RPG, 1.3 APG |
| Zhuric Phelps | 2021-24 | G League | Valley Suns | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-12 0 pts, 7 reb, 4 ast Play-In | 3 GP, 3.7 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 2.0 APG |
| Shake Milton | 2015-18 | EuroCup | Hapoel Midtown Jerusalem | 7 | 26.9 | 12.0 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 11-11 14 pts, 6 reb, 5 ast | 4 GP, 13.2 PPG, 2.8 RPG, 4.2 APG |
| Ben Moore | 2013-17 | EuroCup | PAOK Thessaloniki | 7 | 18.8 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 0.1 | 11-10 2 pts, 4 reb, 0 ast | 4 GP, 4.2 PPG, 4.2 RPG, 0.2 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Matt Cross | G League Play-In | Texas Legends | vs Rio Grande Valley Vipers | 29 | 18 | 12 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-12 | Zhuric Phelps | G League Play-In | Valley Suns | vs South Bay Lakers | 21 | 0 | 7 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-11-12 | Sterling Brown | EuroLeague | Zalgiris Kaunas | @ Armani Olimpia Milan | 16 | 5 | 3 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-12 | Semi Ojeleye | EuroLeague | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade | @ Real Madrid | 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Shake Milton | EuroCup | Hapoel Midtown Jerusalem | @ Baglietto Derthona Tortona | 27 | 14 | 6 | 5 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Zhuric Phelps | G League Play-In | Valley Suns | @ Stockton Kings | 22 | 11 | 5 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Matt Cross | G League Play-In | Texas Legends | @ Mexico City Capitanes | 28 | 20 | 8 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Ben Moore | EuroCup | PAOK Thessaloniki | @ Balkan Botevgrad | 21 | 2 | 4 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-08 | Matt Cross | G League Play-In | Texas Legends | @ Mexico City Capitanes | 30 | 10 | 11 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Zhuric Phelps | G League Play-In | Valley Suns | @ San Diego Clippers | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Sterling Brown | EuroLeague | Zalgiris Kaunas | @ Besiktas Istanbul | 21 | 7 | 5 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Semi Ojeleye | EuroLeague | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade | @ Olympiacos Piraeus | 16 | 2 | 2 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-04 | Shake Milton | EuroCup | Hapoel Midtown Jerusalem | vs Aris Thessaloniki | 34 | 19 | 3 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-03 | Ben Moore | EuroCup | PAOK Thessaloniki | vs Roma Basketball | 23 | 13 | 5 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-10-30 | Sterling Brown | EuroLeague | Zalgiris Kaunas | vs Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade | 14 | 9 | 5 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-10-29 | Semi Ojeleye | EuroLeague | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade | vs FC Bayern Munich | 20 | 12 | 2 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-10-28 | Shake Milton | EuroCup | Hapoel Midtown Jerusalem | @ Le Mans Sarthe Basket | 26 | 10 | 1 | 6 | Box |
| 2026-10-27 | Ben Moore | EuroCup | PAOK Thessaloniki | @ Bahcesehir College Istanbul | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
223 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Oziyah SellersJaden ToombsJermaine O'Neal Jr.Billy White IIIDavid Terrell Jr.Jacob PatrickRowan BrumbaughGehrig Normand
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 33-49 | 67.3 | 66 | Jaden Toombs 27% (18 pts) | Jakub Szumert 21% (14 pts) | Jaden Toombs 25% (4 misses) | Jermaine O'Neal Jr. 19% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 31-63 | 49.2 | 62 | Jaden Toombs 29% (18 pts) | Jermaine O'Neal Jr. 19% (12 pts) | David Terrell Jr. 25% (8 misses) | Jaden Toombs 12% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 0-5 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Oziyah Sellers 60% (3 misses) | Billy White III 40% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 4-8 | 50.0 | 8 | Jermaine O'Neal Jr. 25% (2 pts) | Nic Codie 25% (2 pts) | Jacob Patrick 25% (1 misses) | Nic Codie 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 8-14 | 57.1 | 16 | Jermaine O'Neal Jr. 38% (6 pts) | Jaden Toombs 25% (4 pts) | Billy White III 50% (3 misses) | David Terrell Jr. 17% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 7-13 | 53.8 | 21 | Jacob Patrick 29% (6 pts) | Oziyah Sellers 29% (6 pts) | Billy White III 33% (2 misses) | Oziyah Sellers 33% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 5-11 | 45.5 | 15 | Jacob Patrick 40% (6 pts) | Billy White III 20% (3 pts) | Billy White III 33% (2 misses) | Cameron Lomax 17% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 9-27 | 33.3 | 27 | Oziyah Sellers 44% (12 pts) | Billy White III 22% (6 pts) | Rowan Brumbaugh 28% (5 misses) | Oziyah Sellers 22% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 4-10 | 40.0 | 12 | David Terrell Jr. 25% (3 pts) | Jaden Toombs 25% (3 pts) | Gehrig Normand 17% (1 misses) | Jaden Toombs 17% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 10-23 | 43.5 | 30 | Oziyah Sellers 30% (9 pts) | Billy White III 20% (6 pts) | Rowan Brumbaugh 31% (4 misses) | Cameron Lomax 23% (3 misses) |