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2025-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Radford Highlanders SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 12.6% 87.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 14.0% 86.0% - โœ“
Margin 1.3% 98.7% +23.9 โœ“ (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 36.8% 63.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 15.5% 84.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 11.3% 88.7% - โœ“

Actual: SMU Mustangs +17 (89-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Radford Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Del Jones * 32 5-11 2-5 4-6 2 3 2 0 3 16 9 -
Dennis Parker Jr. * 29 6-15 1-4 5-5 4 1 3 1 1 18 11 -
Lukas Walls * 23 0-4 0-4 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
Tyson Brown * 20 1-7 0-1 0-0 6 2 2 1 1 2 5 -
Mari Jordan * 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Jaylon Johnson 33 5-14 4-11 1-2 4 2 2 2 3 15 8 -
Brennan Rigsby 27 2-7 0-4 1-1 4 3 3 0 0 5 8 -
Frederik Erichsen 16 1-2 1-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 5 5 -
Louie Jordan 15 3-8 3-8 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 9 4 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Boopie Miller * 37 5-9 3-4 12-12 1 10 1 0 2 25 26 -
Jaron Pierre Jr. * 36 5-13 2-6 3-3 13 1 1 1 1 15 17 -
Corey Washington * 32 8-13 3-7 2-4 12 0 2 3 4 21 21 -
B.J. Edwards * 31 4-13 1-6 1-1 4 2 2 0 0 10 5 -
Samet Yigitoglu * 25 2-4 0-0 4-8 10 1 0 2 3 8 14 -
Mitchell Holmes 15 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
Jermaine O'Neal Jr. 13 2-4 1-3 1-2 1 1 0 0 2 6 2 -
B.J. Davis-Ray 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
Chance Puryear 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Nigel Walls 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter