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2025-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Radford Highlanders SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 25.0% 75.0% -
Bradley-Terry 9.0% 91.0% -
Margin 1.2% 98.8% +24.2 (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 36.8% 63.2% -
Efficiency 3.9% 96.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 9.9% 90.1% -

Actual: SMU Mustangs +17 (89-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Radford Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Jones * 32 5-11 2-5 4-6 2 3 2 0 3 16 9 -6.5
D. Parker Jr. * 29 6-15 1-4 5-5 4 1 3 1 1 18 11 -8.7
L. Walls * 23 0-4 0-4 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 2 3 +4.1
T. Brown * 20 1-7 0-1 0-0 6 2 2 1 1 2 5 +7.3
M. Jordan * 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 +2.3
J. Johnson 33 5-14 4-11 1-2 4 2 2 2 3 15 8 -9.5
B. Rigsby 27 2-7 0-4 1-1 4 3 3 0 0 5 8 -16.0
F. Erichsen 16 1-2 1-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 5 5 -9.1
L. Jordan 15 3-8 3-8 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 9 4 -7.7

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Miller * 37 5-9 3-4 12-12 1 10 1 0 2 25 26 +11.6
J. Pierre Jr. * 36 5-13 2-6 3-3 13 1 1 1 1 15 17 +25.2
C. Washington * 32 8-13 3-7 2-4 12 0 2 3 4 21 21 +21.0
B.J. Edwards * 31 4-13 1-6 1-1 4 2 2 0 0 10 5 +8.2
S. Yigitoglu * 25 2-4 0-0 4-8 10 1 0 2 3 8 14 +11.2
M. Holmes 15 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 5 -2.6
J. O'Neal Jr. 13 2-4 1-3 1-2 1 1 0 0 2 6 2 -10.1
B.J. Davis-Ray 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 2 -11.1
C. Puryear 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -0.5
N. Walls 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -6.1

* = starter