Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Fullerton Titans | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.0% | 97.0% | +19.1 | ✓ (27.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +47 (110-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Williams | 30 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. Ward | 30 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 6-8 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 17 | - |
| J. De La Cruz Monegro | 30 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -2 | - |
| B. Cofield | 27 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| K. Garris | 21 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| L. Seaman | 20 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| D. White | 18 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| K. De Luna | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B. Winker | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Quinlan | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Miller | 30 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| B.J. Edwards | 28 | 8-10 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 34 | - |
| S. Yigitoglu | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18 | - |
| J. Pierre Jr. | 22 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| J. O'Neal Jr. | 20 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| J. Toombs | 18 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| C. Washington | 18 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| B.J. Davis-Ray | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Walters | 9 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| M. Holmes | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| C. Puryear | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Walls | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Kalischer-Stork | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Utter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter