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2026-02-25

Model Predictions

Model SMU Mustangs California Golden Bears Spread Result
Elo 41.4% 58.6% -
Bradley-Terry 46.1% 53.9% -
Margin 63.0% 37.0% -2.9 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% -
Efficiency 57.7% 42.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.2% 34.8% -
Log Adjusted 65.5% 34.5% -
Points Off/Def 53.8% 46.2% -

Actual: California Golden Bears +4 (73-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Miller 38 6-12 2-2 1-2 6 4 0 0 3 15 10 -
J. Pierre Jr. 34 4-11 1-5 5-8 4 3 0 1 4 14 7 -
C. Washington 33 4-9 3-6 4-8 9 1 1 0 1 15 16 -
S. Yigitoglu 32 5-6 0-0 1-6 8 1 1 0 1 11 14 -
J. Toombs 22 1-5 0-2 0-2 8 1 0 1 2 2 5 -
J. O'Neal Jr. 18 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 5 2 -
B.J. Edwards 17 2-5 1-2 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 5 6 -
S. Walters 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

California Golden Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Pippen 34 8-19 2-10 6-7 4 5 3 1 1 24 17 -
C. Bell 34 7-12 4-8 2-2 3 1 2 0 2 20 12 -
J. Camden 33 5-11 2-7 2-2 3 3 0 0 0 14 9 -
D. Ames 28 1-10 0-4 0-0 3 2 1 1 3 2 -4 -
L. Dort 22 3-5 0-0 1-2 10 2 1 1 0 7 16 -
S. Carr 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 4 -
M. Ilic 15 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
S. Yeanay 7 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 1 2 -
N. Dorsey 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
M. Kocanas 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter