Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Vanderbilt Commodores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.2% | 88.8% | +14.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.2% | 82.8% | +8.7 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +19 (88-69). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boopie Miller * | 38 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 13 | -6.6 |
| Samet Yigitoglu * | 34 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | -5.1 |
| B.J. Edwards * | 34 | 4-14 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | -14.6 |
| Jaron Pierre Jr. * | 33 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 1 | -16.9 |
| Corey Washington * | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -12.9 |
| Jaden Toombs | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -18.1 |
| Jermaine O'Neal Jr. | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -14.5 |
| B.J. Davis-Ray | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.5 |
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Tanner * | 37 | 10-14 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 24 | +29.0 |
| Duke Miles * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +17.2 |
| AK Okereke * | 28 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | +14.8 |
| Devin McGlockton * | 26 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 16 | +16.1 |
| Tyler Nickel * | 24 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | +13.9 |
| Jalen Washington | 18 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 15 | +9.7 |
| Frankie Collins | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +14.2 |
| Tyler Harris | 10 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | +11.0 |
| Chandler Bing | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.9 |
| Mason Nicholson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Jaylon Dean-Vines | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.7 |
| Coleson Messer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Miles Keeffe | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Jayden Leverett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.4 |
* = starter