Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Bears | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.4% | 96.6% | +18.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +17 (99-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hunter | 35 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | -13.5 |
| T. Robinson | 33 | 11-17 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 23 | -13.4 |
| L. Moore | 30 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | -32.2 |
| M. Marable | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -30.5 |
| J. Guy-King | 22 | 5-13 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | -1.0 |
| T. Byrne | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +17.5 |
| H. Beauchamp | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +18.2 |
| C. McCormick | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -13.9 |
| T. Lee | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -0.5 |
| P. Applegate | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2.3 |
| E. Thomas | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Miller | 34 | 9-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 22 | +25.7 |
| B.J. Edwards | 30 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 17 | +17.9 |
| S. Yigitoglu | 29 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 25 | +24.6 |
| J. Pierre Jr. | 25 | 8-15 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | +5.4 |
| C. Washington | 23 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -2 | +23.6 |
| J. O'Neal Jr. | 21 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +3.9 |
| J. Toombs | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -18.0 |
| S. Walters | 11 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -6.7 |
| B.J. Davis-Ray | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +4.6 |
| M. Holmes | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -9.0 |
| C. Puryear | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter