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2026-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 45.1% 54.9% -
Bradley-Terry 43.6% 56.4% -
Margin 26.1% 73.9% +5.7 (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% -
Efficiency 9.4% 90.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.4% 64.6% -
Log Adjusted 35.1% 64.9% -
Points Off/Def 36.5% 63.5% -

Actual: SMU Mustangs +1 (77-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Avdalas 36 4-12 0-7 2-2 0 6 2 0 1 10 5 -5.1
B. Hammond 35 5-10 1-3 0-1 2 5 2 0 2 11 8 -3.4
J. Bedford 29 9-17 3-8 1-2 7 1 1 0 1 22 13 -6.9
A. Hansberry 28 2-8 0-1 2-5 8 0 1 0 3 6 4 -5.4
T. Lawal 24 3-5 1-3 3-5 8 0 0 2 1 10 14 -5.7
J. Schutt 21 5-7 4-6 1-1 3 0 1 0 0 15 12 -0.9
C. Gurdak 16 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 2 2 0 1 2 6 -
A. Dorn 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 +0.2

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Miller 35 6-15 1-6 11-16 4 6 2 0 1 24 20 +5.7
B.J. Edwards 33 2-7 0-1 0-0 1 4 2 0 1 4 3 -1.7
S. Yigitoglu 32 7-9 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 2 4 14 7 -1.0
J. Pierre Jr. 31 5-9 2-3 1-1 9 1 0 0 3 13 11 +12.9
J. Toombs 28 6-12 0-3 0-0 10 1 0 1 0 12 12 +2.3
C. Washington 25 2-4 0-1 4-5 5 0 0 0 1 8 8 +13.1
J. O'Neal Jr. 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 2 0 2 4 -3.6
B.J. Davis-Ray 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.1

* = starter