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Sacramento Monarchs

Season: 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000
Also known as: Sacramento Monarchs
Program History

2009 Team Stats (34 games)

76.8
PPG
79.1
Opp
-2.4
Margin
43.1%
FG%
33.9%
3P%
78.8%
FT%
33.9
RPG
15.9
APG
14.7
TO
77.4
Est. poss./game
74.7
Adj PPG
76.7
Adj Opp PPG
#11
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2009
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 950 (#10) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 907 (#13) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +107 elo More → 958 (#10) HCA +107 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.8 More → -2.1 (#11) HCA +3.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.5 More → -0.9 (#8) HCA +3.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.414 (#11) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.0 More → 0.414 (#11) AdjNet -3.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.0 More → 0.414 (#11) AdjNet -3.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 76.7 More → 0.454 (#11) AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 76.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.0 | AdjD 77.8 More → 0.481 (#8) AdjO 77.0 | AdjD 77.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.438 (#10) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.443 (#9) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 131 | GP 34 More → 937 (#11) RD 131 | GP 34

2009 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2009-06-06 vs Seattle Storm L 61 - 71
2009-06-07 @ Seattle Storm L 70 - 80
2009-06-12 vs Phoenix Mercury W 90 - 71
2009-06-13 @ Phoenix Mercury L 104 - 115
2009-06-16 vs Minnesota Lynx L 83 - 86
2009-06-21 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 47 - 67
2009-06-26 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 52 - 62
2009-06-28 @ Detroit Shock L 72 - 86
2009-06-30 @ Chicago Sky L 72 - 74
2009-07-02 @ Minnesota Lynx W 74 - 68
2009-07-07 vs Chicago Sky W 83 - 73
2009-07-09 @ Seattle Storm L 55 - 66
2009-07-11 vs Phoenix Mercury L 105 - 107
2009-07-15 @ Phoenix Mercury L 81 - 100
2009-07-17 vs Seattle Storm L 56 - 69
2009-07-19 vs Detroit Shock L 65 - 69
2009-07-22 @ Connecticut Sun L 75 - 83
2009-07-23 @ New York Liberty W 88 - 73
2009-07-26 @ Washington Mystics L 73 - 87
2009-07-30 vs San Antonio Silver Stars W 101 - 93
2009-08-01 vs Los Angeles Sparks L 56 - 59
2009-08-07 vs New York Liberty L 66 - 84
2009-08-11 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 90 - 73
2009-08-14 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 85 - 79
2009-08-15 vs Los Angeles Sparks L 61 - 78
2009-08-20 vs Indiana Fever W 67 - 62
2009-08-22 vs Washington Mystics W 82 - 60
2009-08-25 @ Atlanta Dream L 83 - 103
2009-08-28 @ Minnesota Lynx L 95 - 100
2009-08-29 @ Indiana Fever W 79 - 78
2009-09-01 vs Connecticut Sun W 90 - 70
2009-09-04 vs Atlanta Dream L 90 - 98
2009-09-10 vs San Antonio Silver Stars L 71 - 80
2009-09-13 vs Minnesota Lynx W 88 - 66

2009 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
N. Powell N. Powell F 36 29.5 16.3 5.7 2.2 1.4 0.2 2.4 13.5 9.9 - - - - 42.0 37.2 98.0 - 55.4 50.3
R. Brunson R. Brunson F 27 24.7 12.3 7.0 0.3 1.5 0.6 1.7 9.4 10.6 - - - - 48.6 0.0 78.3 - 54.9 48.6
John Bryant John Bryant - 36 19.8 8.8 2.6 1.1 0.9 0.2 1.6 7.4 4.6 - - - - 48.7 0.0 71.4 - 52.3 48.7
K. Lawson K. Lawson G 25 24.1 8.8 2.1 2.5 0.6 0.0 1.4 8.0 4.7 - - - - 38.0 33.6 93.9 - 51.3 47.2
D. Walker D. Walker F 36 23.8 8.3 4.5 1.8 0.8 0.4 2.7 7.3 5.8 - - - - 46.8 0.0 72.6 - 50.7 46.8
M. Warburton M. Warburton NA 2 12.0 7.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 6.0 3.5 - - - - 50.0 50.0 50.0 - 58.2 58.3
Larry McSwain Larry McSwain - 36 18.3 6.5 1.5 0.8 1.0 0.2 1.6 5.6 2.8 - - - - 40.9 30.8 67.8 - 48.4 42.9
K. Haynie K. Haynie NA 9 17.4 5.2 1.7 2.0 1.4 0.1 1.7 5.3 3.4 - - - - 33.3 33.3 83.3 - 44.1 38.5
M. Lijie M. Lijie NA 2 9.5 5.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 3.5 2.5 - - - - 42.9 50.0 75.0 - 57.1 50.0
Andrew Ford Andrew Ford - 35 13.5 4.9 4.1 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.7 4.1 5.6 - - - - 51.0 0.0 70.3 - 54.0 51.0
T. Penicheiro T. Penicheiro G 32 23.6 4.8 2.7 4.9 1.0 0.1 2.1 4.5 7.0 - - - - 32.2 20.0 81.9 - 43.8 32.9
L. Harper L. Harper F 35 14.2 4.7 3.6 0.6 0.4 0.6 1.3 3.6 5.1 - - - - 38.6 0 72.0 - 49.1 38.6
Tim Bograkos Tim Bograkos - 25 13.0 4.4 1.9 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.9 2.5 3.5 - - - - 46.8 0.0 81.0 - 60.7 46.8
C. Newton C. Newton NA 25 14.2 2.8 1.3 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.8 3.0 2.8 - - - - 34.7 28.6 65.0 - 41.2 37.3
Jason Terry Jason Terry - 5 9.6 1.2 1.0 0.2 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.8 0.6 - - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Joe Smith Joe Smith - 2 9.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 3.0 -1.0 - - - - 16.7 0.0 0 - 16.7 16.7
B. Farris B. Farris F 1 8.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Michael Redd Michael Redd - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -2.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2009 Shot Zones

2304 located field-goal attempts in 36 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Brunson18% Powell22% Bryant29% Lawson21% Powell23% McSwain40% Powell57% Powell67% Powell53% Powell55%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Walker16% Walker17% Bryant24% Walker19% Powell29% Lawson30% Powell62% Powell55% Lawson50% Powell52%
Misses: who misses most here

N. PowellJohn BryantR. BrunsonD. WalkerK. LawsonLarry McSwain

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 490-877 55.9 980 R. Brunson 18% (172 pts) D. Walker 16% (154 pts) D. Walker 16% (60 misses) R. Brunson 16% (60 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 152-431 35.3 304 N. Powell 22% (66 pts) D. Walker 19% (58 pts) D. Walker 17% (47 misses) N. Powell 12% (34 misses)
Mid-range left 97-271 35.8 194 John Bryant 29% (56 pts) N. Powell 25% (48 pts) John Bryant 24% (41 misses) N. Powell 18% (31 misses)
Mid-range center 39-109 35.8 78 K. Lawson 21% (16 pts) N. Powell 18% (14 pts) D. Walker 19% (13 misses) N. Powell 11% (8 misses)
Mid-range right 74-214 34.6 148 N. Powell 23% (34 pts) John Bryant 22% (32 pts) N. Powell 29% (41 misses) John Bryant 19% (26 misses)
Left corner 3 5-15 33.3 15 Larry McSwain 40% (6 pts) N. Powell 40% (6 pts) K. Lawson 30% (3 misses) Larry McSwain 30% (3 misses)
Right corner 3 7-20 35.0 21 N. Powell 57% (12 pts) Larry McSwain 29% (6 pts) N. Powell 62% (8 misses) Larry McSwain 23% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 left 45-146 30.8 135 N. Powell 67% (90 pts) K. Lawson 22% (30 pts) N. Powell 55% (56 misses) K. Lawson 27% (27 misses)
Above-break 3 center 17-43 39.5 51 N. Powell 53% (27 pts) K. Lawson 29% (15 pts) K. Lawson 50% (13 misses) N. Powell 38% (10 misses)
Above-break 3 right 65-178 36.5 195 N. Powell 55% (108 pts) K. Lawson 31% (60 pts) N. Powell 52% (59 misses) K. Lawson 23% (26 misses)