Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Monarchs | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.6% | 85.4% | +9.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +19 (100-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Powell | 33 | 6-18 | 5-13 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 6 | - |
| K. Lawson | 29 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| R. Brunson | 25 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| C. Paris | 24 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| T. Penicheiro | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| D. Walker | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| H. Maiga-Ba | 17 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| S. Dorrell | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Kelly | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Newton | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| L. Harper | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 31 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 29 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 5-9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 20 | - |
| T. Johnson | 24 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 13 | - |
| D. Bonner | 22 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| L. Willingham | 21 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| T. Smith | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 20 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| K. Swanier | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| B. Smith | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter