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2009-07-15

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Monarchs Phoenix Mercury Spread Result
Elo 15.4% 84.6% -
Bradley-Terry 16.5% 83.5% -
Margin 14.6% 85.4% +9.7 (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 34.1% 65.9% -

Actual: Phoenix Mercury +19 (100-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Powell 33 6-18 5-13 6-6 3 1 0 0 3 23 6 -
K. Lawson 29 2-9 2-7 0-0 3 5 0 0 0 6 5 -
R. Brunson 25 4-12 0-0 4-8 8 1 1 0 3 12 7 -
C. Paris 24 5-13 0-0 4-4 9 0 2 0 1 14 11 -
T. Penicheiro 19 1-5 0-0 0-1 4 6 2 0 1 2 8 -
D. Walker 19 1-5 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 0 1 3 3 -
H. Maiga-Ba 17 5-8 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 1 2 12 8 -
S. Dorrell 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
C. Kelly 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
C. Newton 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 -
L. Harper 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Pondexter 31 4-10 3-7 1-2 3 15 0 0 1 12 19 -
D. Taurasi 29 7-12 3-6 5-9 5 3 2 2 2 22 20 -
T. Johnson 24 5-6 3-3 0-0 6 6 0 0 6 13 13 -
D. Bonner 22 5-9 0-2 5-6 2 0 0 3 1 15 10 -
L. Willingham 21 6-8 0-1 1-1 2 0 0 0 2 13 5 -
T. Smith 21 3-7 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 6 -2 -
K. Mazzante 20 5-7 4-6 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 14 9 -
N. Ohlde 16 2-2 0-0 1-1 2 1 0 2 0 5 8 -
K. Swanier 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 0 5 -
B. Smith 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter