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2009-08-25

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Monarchs Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 34.7% 65.3% -
Bradley-Terry 28.5% 71.5% -
Margin 21.7% 78.3% +7.1 (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 38.0% 62.0% -

Actual: Atlanta Dream +20 (103-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Penicheiro 31 2-7 0-1 5-6 3 11 2 0 1 9 17 -
N. Powell 29 5-17 1-6 2-2 3 4 1 1 1 13 4 -
R. Brunson 28 4-13 0-0 7-10 7 1 1 0 2 15 9 -
H. Maiga-Ba 25 5-12 0-1 2-2 4 1 1 2 2 12 6 -
D. Walker 25 5-7 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 1 13 7 -
S. Dorrell 23 1-3 0-0 3-4 1 2 0 1 6 5 0 -
C. Paris 17 1-3 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 0 2 4 6 -
L. Harper 10 2-3 0-0 1-3 4 1 2 1 1 5 9 -
K. Haynie 9 2-4 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 5 1 -
W. Boddie 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Lyttle 34 6-10 0-0 1-2 9 3 1 0 3 13 13 -
A. McCoughtry 33 6-10 1-1 7-8 4 2 2 0 2 20 16 -
I. Castro 32 13-21 3-7 1-2 1 4 0 0 2 30 12 -
E. de Souza 30 6-9 0-0 0-1 4 3 1 1 1 12 11 -
S. Lehning 29 1-4 0-0 2-2 4 10 3 0 2 4 15 -
I. Latta 11 4-6 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 3 10 2 -
M. Snow 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 2 5 -
C. Miller 10 3-7 2-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 10 4 -
A. Herrington 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Lacy 6 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter