Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.0% | 40.0% | -2.2 | ✗ (21.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +19 (90-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 30 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| T. Smith | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| T. Johnson | 25 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| D. Bonner | 25 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 23 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 17 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| L. Willingham | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Swanier | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Smith | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Quigley | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Dorrell | 29 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| K. Lawson | 26 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| N. Powell | 25 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| C. Newton | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Kelly | 20 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| H. Maiga-Ba | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| L. Harper | 19 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| D. Walker | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| C. Paris | 15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| R. Brunson | 11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
* = starter