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2009-08-07

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Sacramento Monarchs Spread Result
Elo 32.9% 67.1% -
Bradley-Terry 46.3% 53.7% -
Margin 37.8% 62.2% +2.7 (20.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.3% 49.7% -

Actual: Sacramento Monarchs -18 (66-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McCarville 30 5-8 0-0 8-8 5 5 1 2 0 18 23 -
L. Moore 27 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 4 3 0 4 3 4 -
S. Christon 25 2-11 2-10 3-4 4 2 1 1 0 9 6 -
A. Battle 22 5-7 1-2 0-0 4 1 2 0 0 11 11 -
T. Jackson-Jones 20 4-6 0-0 3-5 6 1 1 1 0 11 14 -
E. Carson 20 4-8 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 10 2 -
C. Kraayeveld 16 3-3 3-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 9 4 -
K. Vaughn 13 3-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 0 -
L. Mitchell 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 4 2 1 2 0 3 -
S. Spencer 13 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 5 4 -
E. Larkins 2 0-0 0-0 2-4 0 0 1 0 0 2 3 -

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Powell 29 1-6 0-3 2-2 5 1 1 0 3 4 2 -
T. Penicheiro 29 1-4 0-0 4-7 3 4 3 0 4 6 8 -
R. Brunson 26 6-11 0-0 2-2 7 2 1 0 1 14 12 -
K. Lawson 25 2-9 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 4 -2 -
S. Dorrell 19 1-4 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 0 3 3 -2 -
C. Paris 19 8-10 0-0 3-4 5 2 1 1 0 19 18 -
H. Maiga-Ba 18 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 6 0 -
D. Walker 16 1-5 0-0 2-4 5 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
L. Harper 11 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 4 4 -
C. Kelly 6 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter