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2009-08-15

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Sparks Sacramento Monarchs Spread Result
Elo 60.8% 39.2% -
Bradley-Terry 63.4% 36.6% -
Margin 50.3% 49.7% -0.1 (16.9 off)
Pythagorean 55.9% 44.1% -

Actual: Sacramento Monarchs -17 (61-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Parker 37 8-11 1-2 1-1 7 3 2 3 5 18 17 -
T. Thompson 33 3-9 1-4 2-2 3 4 0 0 2 9 5 -
D. Milton-Jones 33 5-9 2-6 1-2 5 4 0 0 2 13 11 -
L. Leslie 27 5-8 0-0 2-3 9 2 1 1 0 12 17 -
N. Quinn 25 5-7 1-1 3-4 4 4 3 0 6 14 12 -
B. Lennox 14 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 5 0 -
L. Wisdom-Hylton 12 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 1 1 5 6 -
K. Harrower 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
S. Bobbitt 5 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
V. Hayden-Johnson 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Powell 37 8-18 2-8 2-2 2 0 2 0 2 20 4 -
D. Walker 34 4-8 0-0 2-2 5 5 0 0 3 10 9 -
R. Brunson 29 5-12 0-1 4-5 11 0 2 0 0 14 15 -
T. Penicheiro 25 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 0 1 -
K. Lawson 21 1-7 0-5 0-0 0 5 1 0 2 2 -1 -
S. Dorrell 20 1-6 0-3 2-4 0 1 3 0 1 4 1 -
H. Maiga-Ba 16 3-5 0-0 3-6 2 0 5 0 1 9 10 -
C. Paris 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
C. Kelly 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
L. Harper 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter