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2009-08-14

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Monarchs Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 24.4% 75.6% -
Bradley-Terry 24.5% 75.5% -
Margin 20.2% 79.8% +7.6 (13.6 off)
Pythagorean 38.1% 61.9% -

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -6 (79-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Powell 33 7-13 2-6 2-2 2 4 3 0 0 18 14 -
T. Penicheiro 31 4-7 0-1 2-2 5 10 0 0 6 10 12 -
D. Walker 29 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 4 5 -
R. Brunson 28 7-10 0-0 5-6 7 0 3 0 2 19 17 -
K. Lawson 25 3-6 3-4 3-3 3 2 1 0 0 12 12 -
S. Dorrell 21 3-10 0-1 1-1 1 1 0 1 0 7 0 -
H. Maiga-Ba 15 5-7 0-0 1-2 3 2 0 0 1 11 8 -
C. Paris 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
L. Harper 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Kelly 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Parker 34 3-7 1-3 3-4 10 2 0 2 0 10 17 -
L. Leslie 33 9-13 1-2 6-6 5 3 1 2 4 25 19 -
T. Thompson 32 5-9 1-2 1-1 5 1 0 0 2 12 7 -
N. Quinn 26 6-13 0-4 1-1 4 5 1 0 0 13 10 -
D. Milton-Jones 25 2-7 1-1 4-4 5 0 1 0 1 9 7 -
B. Lennox 19 2-11 0-3 4-4 2 3 2 0 0 8 4 -
K. Harrower 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
S. Bobbitt 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 0 1 -
M. Ferdinand-Harris 8 1-5 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -4 -
V. Hayden-Johnson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter