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2009-06-28

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Monarchs Detroit Shock Spread Result
Elo 23.8% 76.2% -
Bradley-Terry 24.6% 75.4% -
Margin 21.5% 78.5% +7.1 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 38.1% 61.9% -

Actual: Detroit Shock +14 (86-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Powell 26 3-12 1-5 4-4 2 0 0 0 4 11 -3 -
R. Brunson 25 4-10 0-0 8-10 7 0 1 0 1 16 13 -
K. Lawson 22 4-9 1-3 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 11 3 -
S. Dorrell 22 4-7 0-0 7-8 1 0 1 0 3 15 7 -
T. Penicheiro 20 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 5 0 0 2 4 4 -
D. Walker 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 4 4 2 -
H. Maiga-Ba 16 3-5 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 7 5 -
C. Newton 16 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 3 0 1 0 1 -
L. Harper 15 0-2 0-0 2-3 4 2 0 1 1 2 6 -
C. Kelly 14 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
C. Paris 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 4 -

Detroit Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Ford 31 5-10 0-0 2-2 8 1 1 2 3 12 11 -
D. Nolan 27 5-11 1-4 3-4 1 2 2 0 2 14 6 -
S. Zellous 27 5-11 0-0 8-8 4 2 2 0 4 18 11 -
T. McWilliams-Franklin 26 1-3 0-1 2-2 4 3 1 0 2 4 7 -
K. Smith 26 3-7 1-2 0-0 1 3 2 0 2 7 4 -
A. Hornbuckle 21 4-9 0-0 2-3 4 2 0 0 3 10 4 -
K. Haynie 18 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 4 0 1 8 11 -
K. Braxton 13 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 1 1 8 10 -
O. Sanni 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
B. Farris 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter