Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.0% | 40.0% | -2.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs -2 (105-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 36 | 4-14 | 2-4 | 13-13 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 17 | - |
| T. Johnson | 31 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 30 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| L. Willingham | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| T. Smith | 25 | 7-11 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 18 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Bonner | 14 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| A. Quigley | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Brunson | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| N. Powell | 25 | 7-13 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 15 | - |
| T. Penicheiro | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Walker | 21 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| H. Maiga-Ba | 20 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| K. Lawson | 19 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| S. Dorrell | 19 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| C. Newton | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| C. Paris | 16 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| L. Harper | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
* = starter