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2009-07-19

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Shock Sacramento Monarchs Spread Result
Elo 61.6% 38.4% -
Bradley-Terry 63.3% 36.7% -
Margin 48.2% 51.8% +0.4 (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 55.9% 44.1% -

Actual: Sacramento Monarchs -4 (65-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. McWilliams-Franklin 36 9-11 0-0 3-3 12 0 3 0 4 21 21 -
D. Nolan 35 5-16 1-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 11 -1 -
K. Smith 33 2-7 0-2 2-2 2 3 0 0 4 6 0 -
K. Braxton 21 2-5 0-0 1-2 6 3 1 1 4 5 7 -
O. Sanni 20 3-11 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 4 6 -8 -
S. Zellous 20 2-5 0-0 7-8 1 3 1 0 1 11 10 -
A. Hornbuckle 19 3-4 1-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 7 8 -
A. DeForge 14 0-4 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 1 0 5 -
K. Haynie 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Powell 33 4-9 2-3 2-2 2 1 2 0 2 12 6 -
D. Walker 27 4-8 0-0 3-4 3 2 2 0 3 11 7 -
K. Lawson 25 1-7 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -6 -
T. Penicheiro 24 3-7 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 6 -2 -
C. Paris 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 1 0 2 9 -
C. Kelly 17 3-3 0-0 4-4 1 0 0 0 2 10 6 -
L. Harper 17 2-4 0-0 5-6 3 1 0 0 3 9 6 -
H. Maiga-Ba 17 1-6 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
S. Dorrell 15 3-5 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 8 6 -
C. Newton 6 0-2 0-0 2-2 0 2 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter