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2009-07-22

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Monarchs Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 42.8% 57.2% -
Bradley-Terry 32.5% 67.5% -
Margin 24.9% 75.1% +6.1 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 40.3% 59.7% -

Actual: Connecticut Sun +8 (83-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Powell 29 7-18 1-5 3-3 5 3 0 1 1 18 8 -
D. Walker 26 2-9 0-0 5-6 6 2 1 0 1 9 8 -
K. Lawson 25 5-13 0-4 1-1 1 2 1 0 3 11 -1 -
T. Penicheiro 25 1-4 0-0 2-2 3 4 0 0 2 4 5 -
L. Harper 23 1-5 0-0 1-2 11 1 0 0 1 3 9 -
H. Maiga-Ba 18 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 4 2 -
C. Paris 16 3-3 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 6 10 -
S. Dorrell 15 4-5 2-2 1-2 0 0 1 0 2 11 5 -
C. Kelly 14 2-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
C. Newton 9 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 3 2 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Jones 35 13-22 0-1 2-3 10 4 0 1 0 28 21 -
S. Gruda 30 5-9 0-0 2-5 8 0 1 1 1 12 12 -
E. Phillips 26 2-7 2-4 0-0 3 7 1 1 2 6 9 -
L. Whalen 26 0-4 0-0 10-10 4 5 1 0 0 10 16 -
A. Holt 25 2-8 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 5 0 -
A. Jekabsone-Zogota 18 3-4 2-2 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 8 7 -
K. Brown 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
C. Black 9 2-3 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 2 1 5 4 -
K. Gardin 5 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter