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2009-07-26

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Monarchs Washington Mystics Spread Result
Elo 49.1% 50.9% -
Bradley-Terry 33.0% 67.0% -
Margin 28.6% 71.4% +5.0 (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 43.1% 56.9% -

Actual: Washington Mystics +14 (87-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Powell 39 5-14 1-5 0-0 5 3 2 0 4 11 3 -
D. Walker 29 6-10 0-0 1-1 6 4 1 0 2 13 12 -
K. Lawson 28 4-8 2-6 6-6 4 3 0 0 1 16 14 -
C. Paris 24 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 2 6 8 -
T. Penicheiro 24 2-6 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 1 3 4 2 -
L. Harper 16 1-3 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 1 3 6 4 -
H. Maiga-Ba 13 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 3 5 -
C. Kelly 11 3-5 0-0 4-4 1 0 0 1 2 10 5 -
S. Dorrell 9 0-3 0-1 3-4 0 0 2 0 0 3 2 -
C. Newton 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Langhorne 35 7-11 0-0 5-7 8 1 1 1 2 19 17 -
L. Harding 33 7-14 0-2 2-2 5 3 1 0 2 16 9 -
A. Beard 27 4-10 1-3 0-0 2 5 1 0 3 9 4 -
C. Melvin 25 5-7 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 2 0 10 12 -
M. Coleman 24 3-8 2-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 8 6 -
M. Currie 19 3-5 1-3 5-6 1 2 2 0 1 12 11 -
N. Sanford 15 3-4 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 2 7 5 -
M. Ajavon 14 1-6 0-3 2-4 0 2 1 0 2 4 -1 -
B. Mosby 5 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
N. Blue 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter