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2009-06-16

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Lynx Sacramento Monarchs Spread Result
Elo 34.3% 65.7% -
Bradley-Terry 48.7% 51.3% -
Margin 30.7% 69.3% +4.5 (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% -

Actual: Sacramento Monarchs -3 (83-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Augustus 34 12-18 2-2 4-4 4 2 2 0 4 30 16 -
C. Wiggins 33 2-11 0-2 4-4 5 6 1 0 2 8 7 -
C. Houston 25 5-9 1-1 3-4 3 5 1 0 1 14 13 -
N. Anosike 24 4-7 0-0 2-3 5 2 3 2 1 10 14 -
K. Miller 24 3-7 2-3 1-2 2 3 1 0 0 9 8 -
L. Sanders 15 1-2 0-0 1-3 3 0 0 4 0 3 8 -
R. Montgomery 14 3-6 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 7 3 -
Q. Hollingsworth 13 1-7 0-0 3-4 5 0 1 1 0 5 5 -
R. Hodges 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Thomas 3 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
R. McCants 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Powell 31 5-12 3-7 6-6 8 3 4 0 4 19 18 -
K. Lawson 30 1-7 1-5 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 3 2 -
C. Newton 25 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 5 4 -
D. Walker 23 5-12 0-0 1-3 7 3 1 1 1 11 10 -
L. Harper 20 6-9 0-0 1-1 9 1 0 1 3 13 12 -
C. Kelly 19 2-4 0-0 6-7 3 2 0 0 0 10 11 -
H. Maiga-Ba 18 2-5 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 6 2 -
S. Dorrell 17 2-9 0-1 1-2 5 1 0 1 2 5 1 -
R. Brunson 13 4-4 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 2 2 10 11 -
C. Paris 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 1 5 -

* = starter