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2009-09-13

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Lynx Sacramento Monarchs Spread Result
Elo 34.3% 65.7% -
Bradley-Terry 48.7% 51.3% -
Margin 30.7% 69.3% +4.5 (17.5 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% -

Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +22 (88-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Montgomery 28 3-10 3-7 0-0 4 5 1 1 0 9 10 -
C. Houston 27 5-14 1-4 7-8 6 2 2 1 1 18 14 -
R. McCants 27 3-17 1-4 0-2 5 0 4 3 3 7 -1 -
K. Miller 23 1-3 1-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 3 4 -
C. Wiggins 22 2-10 0-3 2-2 5 2 1 0 3 6 1 -
T. Humphrey 20 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 5 1 -
Q. Hollingsworth 20 2-7 0-0 5-6 9 0 1 0 1 9 11 -
R. Hodges 18 2-7 2-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 0 -
A. Montanana 16 1-6 1-4 0-0 3 2 2 0 3 3 1 -

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Powell 33 11-14 5-8 0-0 12 4 1 0 2 27 28 -
R. Brunson 29 6-15 0-0 4-5 10 0 3 0 3 16 11 -
T. Penicheiro 28 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 10 0 0 2 4 12 -
D. Walker 26 1-5 0-0 1-1 3 2 1 3 2 3 5 -
H. Maiga-Ba 22 6-10 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 2 12 2 -
C. Paris 16 3-8 0-0 0-0 14 2 0 2 1 6 15 -
S. Dorrell 15 3-8 0-1 1-2 3 0 1 0 3 7 0 -
K. Haynie 12 2-6 2-2 0-0 1 2 1 1 2 6 3 -
C. Newton 10 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 4 0 -
L. Harper 9 1-1 0-0 1-1 3 2 0 0 1 3 6 -

* = starter