Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
Model Outputs
2008-2009
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 959 (#650) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1131 (#297) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +18.3 (#322) | HCA +3.1 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.298 (#87) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.179 (#100) | AdjNet -13.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.178 (#99) | AdjNet -13.2 |
2009 Schedule & Results
2009 Roster
No roster data available for this season.