Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.3% | 99.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 2.8% | 97.2% | +19.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +17 (74-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wilson | 28 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| M. Johnson | 27 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| N. Larson | 26 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| S. Johannsen | 24 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| C. Jones | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Z. Comagic | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| J. Bishop | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Lepley | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| S. Lee | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Calvin | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hill | 40 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 23 | - |
| N. Wise | 35 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| C. Budinger | 35 | 6-7 | 3-3 | 7-9 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 25 | - |
| J. Horne | 32 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| G. Judkins | 29 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Z. Johnson | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| F. Onobun | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| K. Fogg | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Lavender | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter