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2009-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Idaho State Bengals Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 74.5% 25.5% -
Bradley-Terry 47.2% 52.8% -
Margin 44.6% 55.4% +1.2 (9.2 off)

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -8 (52-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Morgan 37 8-13 0-0 4-5 1 5 1 0 4 20 10 -
M. Stucki 37 3-7 1-3 1-2 4 3 1 0 3 8 6 -
L. Steijn 30 5-6 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 2 12 8 -
A. Kilpatrick 24 2-3 2-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 6 8 -
C. Tatum 21 3-6 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 0 0 8 10 -
D. Carson 16 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 0 0 -
D. Monroe 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 4 3 -
D. Busma 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
P. Taylor 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
F. Caspari 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Baldwin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Wilson 34 1-6 0-3 4-5 2 4 1 0 2 6 5 -
C. Jones 30 4-11 1-5 2-2 3 3 2 0 2 11 6 -
Z. Comagic 29 4-9 0-3 4-5 4 0 1 0 1 12 7 -
S. Johannsen 26 5-7 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 1 1 11 11 -
J. Bishop 24 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 2 3 0 3 3 6 -
M. Johnson 24 1-8 1-4 4-5 1 1 1 0 1 7 1 -
N. Larson 13 0-1 0-1 0-2 0 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -
J. Lepley 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
J. Calvin 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Lee 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter