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Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 66
@
Portland State Vikings 78
2009-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Portland State Vikings Spread Result
Elo 9.7% 90.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 31.8% 68.2% - ✓
Margin 22.7% 77.3% +6.7 ✓ (5.3 off)

Actual: Portland State Vikings +12 (78-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Wilson 34 2-9 0-3 0-0 3 7 0 0 3 4 2 -
M. Johnson 29 4-9 4-8 0-0 3 3 2 0 5 12 6 -
J. Bishop 25 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 5 7 -
C. Jones 25 8-13 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 17 4 -
N. Larson 23 1-4 0-3 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 2 5 -
S. Johannsen 23 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 4 6 -
J. Lepley 16 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
Z. Comagic 13 5-6 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 0 0 11 9 -
J. Calvin 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 2 0 -
E. House 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
S. Lee 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 3 -

Portland State Vikings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Dominguez 38 5-14 5-10 0-0 2 11 4 0 1 15 17 -
P. Nelson 29 4-8 1-4 0-0 5 4 1 0 0 9 11 -
J. Thomas 25 4-5 0-0 4-6 4 1 0 1 4 12 9 -
A. Murray 24 6-11 0-4 0-0 3 4 3 0 1 12 10 -
K. Coston 23 2-5 1-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 5 5 0 -
D. Waters 19 6-7 4-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 16 11 -
J. Jones 18 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
T. Mara 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 4 -
W. Wright 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter