Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Portland State Vikings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.6% | 88.4% | +14.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.6% | 86.4% | +10.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland State Vikings +12 (78-66). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Wilson * | 34 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Bishop * | 25 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Cameron Jones * | 25 | 8-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 4 | - |
| S. Johannsen * | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| N. Larson * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Matt Johnson | 29 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Josh Lepley | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Z. Comagic | 13 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Calvin | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Eric House | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Shayar Lee | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Dominguez * | 38 | 5-14 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| P. Nelson * | 29 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Andre Murray * | 24 | 6-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| K. Coston * | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Jamie Jones * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Julius Thomas | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Dominic Waters | 19 | 6-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| T. Mara | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Wendell Wright | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter