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Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 79
@
Northern Colorado Bears 81
2008-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Northern Colorado Bears Spread Result
Elo 17.8% 82.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 28.3% 71.7% - ✓
Margin 16.3% 83.7% +9.0 ✓ (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 36.3% 63.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 35.7% 64.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 35.8% 64.2% - ✓

Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +2 (81-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Jones 36 8-14 4-7 5-5 5 3 1 0 1 25 19 -
J. Wilson 31 0-8 0-3 0-0 3 4 0 1 1 0 -1 -
M. Johnson 28 4-6 3-4 2-3 3 4 1 0 3 13 12 -
S. Johannsen 25 7-8 0-0 1-4 4 0 2 0 1 15 12 -
N. Larson 21 2-8 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 5 1 -
Z. Comagic 19 6-8 2-2 1-2 5 2 0 0 3 15 11 -
J. Bishop 18 1-1 0-0 2-4 4 2 1 1 2 4 9 -
J. Lepley 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
J. Calvin 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Beitzel 33 11-16 5-7 5-7 2 2 2 0 1 32 21 -
J. Banks 33 5-6 0-0 3-4 6 0 1 1 0 13 15 -
W. Figures 32 4-9 1-2 7-8 5 3 1 0 3 16 13 -
N. Kingman 30 3-7 3-7 1-2 4 2 1 0 0 10 10 -
J. Pena 28 2-6 0-2 1-2 2 7 5 0 2 5 11 -
Y. Bonner 25 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 3 1 -
J. Wesolowski 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Proctor 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Palacios 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter