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2009-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Idaho State Bengals Spread Result
Elo 14.7% 85.3% -
Bradley-Terry 38.6% 61.4% -
Margin 28.4% 71.6% +5.1 (16.9 off)

Actual: Idaho State Bengals +22 (71-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Jones 35 2-10 1-2 0-0 7 4 0 0 5 5 1 -
S. Johannsen 34 3-5 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 7 6 -
N. Larson 30 1-5 1-3 5-6 5 2 1 0 0 8 11 -
J. Lepley 29 5-8 0-0 8-9 3 0 0 2 3 18 12 -
J. Bishop 24 3-6 0-1 0-1 1 2 3 0 4 6 2 -
S. Lee 22 1-6 0-3 0-2 2 3 0 1 3 2 -1 -
Z. Comagic 20 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
E. House 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Stucki 37 3-8 1-5 0-0 2 8 1 1 0 7 11 -
A. Morgan 34 4-11 2-3 0-1 3 7 2 0 3 10 8 -
L. Steijn 34 6-13 0-0 1-2 10 1 0 0 1 13 10 -
A. Kilpatrick 32 6-10 5-9 0-0 3 4 4 1 0 17 19 -
D. Carson 24 0-1 0-0 2-4 6 1 1 0 2 2 7 -
C. Tatum 21 6-8 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 12 9 -
F. Caspari 9 4-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 8 7 -
S. Baldwin 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
P. Taylor 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Taylor 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Busma 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter