Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.5% | 44.5% | -1.2 | ✗ (20.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +19 (83-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Piepoli | 28 | 7-13 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 12 | - |
| D. Mbunga | 27 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| E. Rush | 24 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| B. Johnson | 24 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 2 | - |
| B. Howard | 23 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Navarre | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| W. Bynum | 18 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. Hennessy | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| A. Brown | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Anderson | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Jones | 37 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 15 | - |
| N. Larson | 36 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| S. Johannsen | 31 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| J. Bishop | 30 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Z. Comagic | 29 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| S. Lee | 14 | 7-9 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| E. House | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Lepley | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter