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2009-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Sacramento State Hornets Spread Result
Elo 25.3% 74.7% -
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% -
Margin 36.8% 63.2% +3.0 (6.0 off)

Actual: Sacramento State Hornets -3 (58-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Wilson 28 3-8 3-6 0-0 2 6 1 0 2 9 8 -
M. Johnson 27 7-9 6-8 0-0 4 3 1 0 3 20 16 -
C. Jones 26 8-11 2-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 18 13 -
J. Bishop 24 3-5 2-3 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 8 8 -
N. Larson 23 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 0 5 -
S. Johannsen 22 5-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 2 3 10 12 -
Z. Comagic 21 4-5 2-3 2-2 1 3 1 0 0 12 12 -
J. Lepley 12 4-5 0-0 2-2 6 2 0 0 1 10 12 -
J. Calvin 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 2 3 -
S. Lee 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
E. House 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Sacramento State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Eller 34 5-12 0-0 4-4 4 0 0 1 1 14 6 -
L. Leath 30 4-12 2-5 2-2 5 3 0 0 2 12 6 -
R. Adams 25 3-9 0-0 3-5 5 0 3 0 2 9 6 -
M. Marcial 21 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Stigall 19 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 6 6 -
J. Malloy 19 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 4 3 -
A. Flaggs 18 3-4 2-3 1-2 0 1 0 0 5 9 1 -
M. Selling 18 3-5 0-1 4-4 4 0 0 1 0 10 10 -
D. Thomas 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Ward 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Blockmon 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter