🐻⬇️🏀

Sacramento State Hornets 83
@
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 80
2009-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento State Hornets Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 59.7% 40.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 40.2% 59.8% - ✗
Margin 35.3% 64.7% +3.3 ✗ (6.3 off)

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -3 (80-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Adams 30 5-8 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 12 6 -
J. Malloy 28 6-12 1-4 3-3 4 4 2 0 7 16 7 -
J. Eller 27 3-9 1-3 0-0 8 0 0 1 4 7 3 -
A. Flaggs 23 3-6 3-5 1-3 2 1 1 0 1 10 7 -
M. Marcial 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 2 0 2 0 6 -
M. Selling 22 1-2 1-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
J. Stigall 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -
J. Blockmon 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 2 3 -
D. Thomas 7 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
A. Ward 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Wilson 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Johannsen 34 3-6 0-0 5-8 7 0 1 3 0 11 16 -
J. Bishop 32 3-8 1-3 1-2 2 9 3 0 4 8 10 -
N. Larson 30 0-2 0-2 0-0 7 1 1 0 0 0 7 -
C. Jones 26 10-14 3-6 5-7 2 1 1 0 6 28 12 -
J. Lepley 25 3-4 0-0 9-14 8 2 0 0 2 15 19 -
S. Lee 24 1-5 1-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 2 -
Z. Comagic 24 1-6 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 3 -2 -
E. House 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Wilson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter