Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +6 (74-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Jones | 32 | 8-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 8 | - |
| S. Johannsen | 28 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| J. Wilson | 27 | 6-8 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| M. Johnson | 27 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Bishop | 26 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| N. Larson | 23 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Calvin | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Z. Comagic | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Lepley | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Lee | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Rush | 35 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 12 | - |
| B. Howard | 28 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| W. Bynum | 27 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| D. Mbunga | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| M. Navarre | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| B. Johnson | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Piepoli | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Hennessy | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| C. Anderson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter