Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.0% | 88.0% | +11.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +1 (62-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wilson | 34 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| C. Jones | 31 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 9 | - |
| M. Johnson | 28 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Z. Comagic | 27 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| N. Larson | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Bishop | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| S. Johannsen | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Lepley | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Calvin | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Lee | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnson | 39 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 18-19 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 19 | - |
| J. McGillis | 30 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| J. Hasquet | 29 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| R. Staudacher | 27 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| B. Qvale | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| K. Sharp | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| M. Taylor | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Selvig | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| V. Banny | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter