Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.0% | 30.0% | -4.7 | ✓ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -19 (54-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnson | 39 | 8-14 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 14 | - |
| J. Hasquet | 35 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 23 | - |
| J. McGillis | 28 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Sharp | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| M. Taylor | 26 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| R. Staudacher | 24 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| B. Qvale | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Elgin-Taylor | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Stockton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Hurley | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Selvig | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bishop | 35 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Jones | 34 | 2-15 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -7 | - |
| Z. Comagic | 32 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| S. Johannsen | 28 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| J. Lepley | 28 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| N. Larson | 24 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| S. Lee | 19 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. House | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter