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2009-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Eastern Washington Eagles Spread Result
Elo 16.3% 83.7% -
Bradley-Terry 29.1% 70.9% -
Margin 20.7% 79.3% +7.4 (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.8% 38.2% -
Log Adjusted 62.2% 37.8% -

Actual: Eastern Washington Eagles +4 (54-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bishop 37 2-4 0-1 4-4 1 1 5 0 1 8 10 -
C. Jones 33 5-11 1-5 0-0 5 5 1 0 3 11 8 -
S. Johannsen 31 3-4 0-0 1-2 5 2 1 1 2 7 10 -
J. Wilson 26 3-7 1-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 7 -2 -
S. Lee 22 3-8 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 7 2 -
N. Larson 22 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 2 1 1 2 1 -
Z. Comagic 20 3-7 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 6 4 -
J. Lepley 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Eastern Washington Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Moore 35 2-8 0-0 0-2 9 0 1 0 1 4 5 -
B. Valentine 32 6-10 1-1 0-0 3 7 2 0 2 13 13 -
A. Genao 24 3-5 1-2 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 7 7 -
M. Stanojevic 23 2-7 1-6 6-6 1 3 0 0 1 11 7 -
M. Dunn 20 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
A. DeLeon 20 1-6 0-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -5 -
G. Gibson 15 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 5 1 -
C. Busch 15 2-3 1-1 2-2 4 1 0 1 1 7 9 -
M. Brunell 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Christensen 7 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -

* = starter