Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.7% | 94.3% | +15.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +16 (87-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wilson | 33 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 8-13 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| N. Larson | 28 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Johnson | 24 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 7 | - |
| J. Bishop | 20 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Jones | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| S. Johannsen | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J. Lepley | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| J. Calvin | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Z. Zaragoza | 13 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| S. Lee | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Kuhn | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Rougeau | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| W. Adams | 28 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| O. Bellfield | 26 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Darger | 22 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| D. Santee | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T. Willis | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Wallace | 14 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| M. Rutledge | 14 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| B. Massamba | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| B. Hamga | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Hoffman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter