Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.1% | 37.9% | -2.7 | ✗ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +3 (67-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Figures | 33 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| J. Pena | 32 | 4-13 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | - |
| J. Banks | 30 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| T. Montgomery | 27 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Beitzel | 19 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Proctor | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Y. Bonner | 15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| N. Kingman | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| R. Palacios | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| C. Kaba | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Jones | 32 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| S. Johannsen | 31 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 17 | - |
| J. Wilson | 27 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| J. Bishop | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| N. Larson | 25 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| M. Johnson | 21 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Z. Comagic | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Calvin | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Lepley | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter