Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Wichita State Shockers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.8% | 96.2% | +17.8 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wichita State Shockers +5 (58-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Johannsen | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. Johnson | 32 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| J. Bishop | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| N. Larson | 24 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Wilson | 22 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Jones | 21 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Z. Comagic | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Calvin | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Lepley | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Lee | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Wichita State Shockers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Clemente | 37 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 27 | - |
| A.J. Hawkins | 35 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| C. Hannah | 28 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| J.T. Durley | 25 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 10 | - |
| G. Hatch | 19 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| T. Murry | 17 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| R. Chamberlain | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| G. Stutz | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Ellis | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Griskenas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter