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2008-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Wichita State Shockers Spread Result
Elo 7.8% 92.2% -
Bradley-Terry 10.1% 89.9% -
Margin 3.8% 96.2% +17.8 (12.8 off)
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.6% 67.4% -
Log Adjusted 33.0% 67.0% -

Actual: Wichita State Shockers +5 (58-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Johannsen 33 4-7 0-0 2-7 3 1 0 0 0 10 7 -
M. Johnson 32 5-9 0-2 3-5 4 4 1 0 2 13 11 -
J. Bishop 26 2-5 0-1 4-4 3 0 1 0 0 8 7 -
N. Larson 24 2-6 2-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
J. Wilson 22 2-5 2-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 6 4 -
C. Jones 21 2-6 1-2 1-3 0 2 0 0 1 6 1 -
Z. Comagic 15 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 2 3 2 1 -
J. Calvin 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Lepley 9 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
S. Lee 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 1 -

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Clemente 37 6-6 0-0 0-0 14 5 1 1 0 12 27 -
A.J. Hawkins 35 5-12 0-3 5-8 4 0 2 2 1 15 10 -
C. Hannah 28 4-8 1-3 5-6 4 5 1 0 2 14 14 -
J.T. Durley 25 2-4 0-1 3-6 9 2 0 0 4 7 10 -
G. Hatch 19 1-6 1-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 3 -2 -
T. Murry 17 1-6 0-3 1-1 2 0 1 1 3 3 -2 -
R. Chamberlain 16 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
G. Stutz 14 2-5 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 2 1 4 2 -
A. Ellis 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Griskenas 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter