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North Carolina

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: North Carolina Tar Heels
Program History
Coach: Hubert Davis

2023 Team Stats (23 games)

74.2
PPG
71.3
Opp
+3.7
Margin
42.9%
FG%
31.2%
3P%
75.6%
FT%
37.4
RPG
10.8
APG
10.2
TO
78.6
Pace

Model Outputs

2022-2023
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1345 (#48) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1445 (#18) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +41.5 (#14) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.538 (#50) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +5.7 More → 0.652 (#77) NetEff +5.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.1 More → 0.588 (#53) AdjNet +3.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.1 More → 0.589 (#53) AdjNet +3.1

2023 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2022-11-07 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 69 - 56
2022-11-11 vs Charleston Cougars W 102 - 86
2022-11-15 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 72 - 66
2022-11-20 vs James Madison Dukes W 80 - 64
2022-11-24 @ Portland Pilots W 89 - 81
2022-11-27 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 101 - 103
2022-11-30 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 65 - 77
2022-12-04 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 72 - 80
2022-12-30 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 74 - 76
2023-01-04 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 88 - 79
2023-01-07 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 81 - 64
2023-01-10 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 58 - 65
2023-01-14 @ Louisville Cardinals W 80 - 59
2023-01-17 vs Boston College Eagles W 72 - 64
2023-01-21 vs NC State Wolfpack W 80 - 69
2023-01-24 @ Syracuse Orange W 72 - 68
2023-02-01 vs Pittsburgh Panthers L 64 - 65
2023-02-04 @ Duke Blue Devils L 57 - 63
2023-02-07 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 85 - 92
2023-02-13 vs Miami Hurricanes L 72 - 80
2023-02-19 @ NC State Wolfpack L 69 - 77
2023-02-25 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 71 - 63
2023-02-27 @ Florida State Seminoles W 77 - 66
2023-03-04 vs Duke Blue Devils L 57 - 62
2023-03-08 vs Boston College Eagles W 85 - 61
2023-03-09 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 59 - 68

2023 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Caleb Love Caleb Love - 26 36.2 16.6 3.8 2.5 1.1 0.3 2.4 13.6 8.3 - - - 36.8 28.2 74.5 - 54.3 43.8
RJ Davis RJ Davis - 26 35.7 16.2 4.9 3.3 1.1 0.1 1.8 11.2 12.6 - - - 44.7 37.3 89.2 - 63.3 52.7
A. Bacot A. Bacot - 25 29.6 14.9 10.4 1.4 0.6 1.1 2.3 8.8 17.2 - - - 53.8 0.0 67.1 - 64.6 53.8
P. Nance P. Nance - 23 30.6 10.5 5.6 1.5 0.3 1.4 1.8 7.3 10.2 - - - 44.3 38.2 81.4 - 62.4 52.1
L. Black L. Black - 26 32.5 7.7 6.5 1.5 1.3 0.9 0.9 6.2 10.7 - - - 42.2 31.9 73.2 - 55.6 49.4
P. Johnson P. Johnson G 20 16.6 4.3 2.6 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.3 3.2 4.2 29 2.4 7.5 35.9 28.6 70.0 0.9 59.1 43.8
N. Burnett N. Burnett - 1 14.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 -30 -2.3 -4.2 0 0 0 0.46 0 0
D. Dunn D. Dunn G 24 10.4 2.8 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 2.0 1.9 0 0.0 0.0 44.9 33.3 60.0 0.24 62.7 55.1
J. Washington J. Washington - 14 6.7 2.1 1.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.8 1.9 29 3.6 4.3 44.0 0.0 66.7 1.19 49.5 44.0
S. Trimble S. Trimble - 26 9.0 1.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 1.8 22 1.8 2.3 58.1 33.3 45.0 1.32 61.6 59.7
T. Nickel T. Nickel F 19 6.1 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.3 1.3 38 2.1 3.1 36.0 18.8 83.3 1.05 51.2 42.0
J. McKoy J. McKoy - 9 5.4 1.1 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.9 1.8 - - - 37.5 0.0 100.0 - 51.2 37.5
D. Styles D. Styles G 12 5.4 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.4 - - - 33.3 33.3 50.0 - 43.6 41.7
W. Shaver W. Shaver - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 36 4.5 15.9 0 0 0 0.77 0 0
C. Lebo C. Lebo - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
R. Landry R. Landry - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
J. Watkins J. Watkins - 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.05 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG